The probability of a megaquake occurring in the Nankai Trough within the next 30 years has been revised from 80 percent to a ...

Moody's economist Mark Zandi is worried that the US is barreling toward a recession, pegging the odds of a downturn at close to 50% in the next year.

Freshly released inflation data will prompt the Reserve Bank to keep the cash rate on hold in September, but a cut in ...

Traders in the federal-funds-futures market continued to expect two more interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve by ...

BUFFALO, N.Y. (WIVB) — In a typical forecast, you often hear or see the words “probability of precipitation.” This value is given as a percentage. Although this value is frequently seen and used, ...

The Centre for Probability, Statistics and Data Science covers three broadly overlapping main areas of research: probability, statistics and data science. Probability theory is a core topic within ...

Prediction markets are flashing warning signs that a U.S. government shutdown is far from a distant prospect. Data from ...