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The committee's median forecast for the federal funds rate shows a decline to only 3.4% by the end of 2026, a mere 0.2 percentage point drop from the 3.6% projected for year-end 2025. While 20 bps is ...

Fed officials see more rate cuts in the remainder of 2025 than they did previously—a shift that suggests they are growing increasingly worried about the economic outlook and the weakening labor market ...

The Federal Reserve “dot plot” showed a wide dispersion in expectations for the path of interest rates after the central bank’s rate cut on Wednesday. An unusual combination of sticky inflation and a ...

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates this past week by a quarter of a percentage point. But where rates go from here is a coin toss, at best, given that Fed members’ latest forecasts diverge widely.

Here are the main highlights at a glance: Fed keeps benchmark interest rate steady at 4.25%–4.5%. The dot plot shows the median Fed official expects two 25 basis ...