Fed Officials Are Divided in Their Interest-Rate Outlook. How to Make Sense of the ‘Dot Plot’

The Federal Reserve’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections revealed an unusually wide range of estimates for future interest rates. But don’t ignore it.
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How the Fed’s Dot Plot, Political Pressures, and Tariffs Shape Rate-Cut Expectations and Market Reactions

“The dots are not a great forecaster of future rate moves,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has warned, but every quarter the financial universe ponders the FOMC’s dot plot as though it were a ...
Bloomberg L.P.

The Dot Plot, Explained: Understanding How the Fed Forecasts

It’s almost certainly the most closely scrutinized scatter chart in financial markets. Every three months since January 2012, the Federal Reserve has sent analysts scurrying by updating its “dot plot, ...
The New York Times

How to Read the Fed’s Projections Like a Pro

The Federal Reserve will release fresh economic estimates on Wednesday. Here’s how to read the outlook for 2025 and beyond. By Jeanna Smialek Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to release a fresh ...
Forbes

Three Reasons Why The Fed Should Get Rid Of The Dot Plot

WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 29: Jerome Powell, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman, speaks at a press conference after a Federal Open Market Committee meeting at the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2025 in ...
Bloomberg L.P.

The Dot Plot, Explained: How the Fed Forecasts Interest Rates

It’s almost certainly the most closely scrutinized scatter chart in financial markets. Every three months since January 2012, the Federal Reserve has sent analysts scurrying by updating its “dot plot, ...
U.S. News & World Report

Fed Chair Powell Signals Possible Tweaks to 'Dot Plot' Rate-Path Forecasts

(Reuters) -Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday signaled potential changes for the Fed's closely watched "dot plot" interest-rate projections as part of a broad policy framework review ...
Seeking Alpha

Fed's quarterly report to show revised dot plot for 2025: J.P. Morgan

A Federal Reserve report in the coming week will show that central bank officials expect fewer cuts to interest rates in the coming year, according to economists at financial-services firm J.P. Morgan ...

Miran's Fed dissent makes a splash, fails to sway the outcome

If President Donald Trump hoped that putting a close ally at the Federal Reserve would grab headlines, White House economic adviser Stephen Miran's dissent and way-below consensus interest rate ...
Seeking Alpha

FOMC Dot Plots, The Secular Stagnation Illusion

One of the major surprises in the March FOMC meeting was the re-marking of the long term rates as expressed by the Fed dot plot. There are conspiracy theories about the Fed's worry and motivation for ...

One Fed member wants to cut interest rates like crazy this year

The Fed's projections show the median member expected another half percentage point of cuts in 2025. One member called for ...